Click here for xG stats Paris SG vs Bayern Round of 16 First Leg February 14 2023

Click here for xG stats Bayern vs PSG Quarterfinal UCL April 7 2021

Here is a look at the xG stats for the PSG vs Bayern Munich Champions League final, a fixture the German giants edged 1-0 on 23 August, 2020 thanks to Kingsley Coman’s header on the hour mark. A tight game, perhaps shaded by Bayern, but PSG did have their chances as shown on this expected goals map. Data from two different xG data models.

Model 1| xG PSG 1.02-1.59 Bayern Munich (Actual score Paris SG 0-1 FC Bayern)

xG of Bayern winning goal: Kingsley Coman header goal 59′ (xG 0.40)

xG of some big missed chances for PSG

Kylian Mbappe miss 45′ xG (0.31)- shot straight at Manuel Neuer
Marquinhos missed chance 70′ xG (0.32)- again saved by Neuer
Neymar missed chance 18′ xG (0.06)- promising chance on counter, denied by Neuer

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Here is a look at the pre-match odds for the 2020 Champions League final between Bayern Munich and Paris SG. We’re preserving these as historical odds, to be compared at the time of the final whistle. For example Sevilla winning the Europa League by a 3-2 scoreline was 48/1 and Luuk de Jong as an anytime scorer was at 17/5.

Click here to see probable lineups Paris SG Bayern

Odds of PSG winning the Champions League final?

PSG are being quoted at 29/10 to win the 2020 UCL final

Odds on Bayern winning the UCL final?

Bayern are being quoted at 21/20 to win the Champions League- they’re huge favourites.

Odds on a draw in the Champions League final?

A draw is being quoted at 10/3.

Odds on both teams scoring in the Champions League?

The BTTS odds for both Paris SG and Bayern to score in the UCL final are at 1/3. In fact for no BTTS (only one team scores), the odds are at 23/10

Odds on Neymar scoring in the CL final against Bayern?

Neymar as an anytime scorer is at 13/8.

Odds on Mbappe scoring a goal vs Bayern in the final?

Kylian Mbappe as an anytime scorer is at 7/5

Odds on other goal scorers?

Coutinho (13/5), Muller (5/2), Di Maria (14/5), Perisic (16/5), Lewandowski (4/6), Icardi (9/5)

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Here is a look at how some of the big European newspapers expected Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern Munchen to lineup ahead of their Champions League final tonight. The papers seem to concur on the composition and players in both sides’ starting XI, as seen below.

Edit 7pm UK– Actual lineups. The papers got the PSG XI spot on, but the only difference in the Bayern one was Kingsley Coman starting instead of Ivan Perisic.

Actual lineup Bayern: Neuer, Davies, Alaba, Boateng, Kimmich, Thiago, Goretzka, Coman, Muller, Gnabry, Lewandowski

Actual PSG lineup: Navas, Bernat, Silva, Kimpembe, Kehrer, Paredes, Marquinhos, Herrera, Mbappe, Neymar, Di Maria

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